Politics Spanish General Election

[Mokordo]

As I did in the other Forum, I will continue posting here about the April 2018 next General Election in Spain.

Last CIS survey, gives victory to PSOE (Socialist Party):

New poll predicts Socialist Party victory at Spanish elections

The latest CIS survey predicts that current Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez will win the highest number of seats in Congress, but fall short of an absolute majority

elpais.com

All the surveys in one graphic (In Spanish):

Encuestas electorales | Elecciones generales en EL PAÍS

Repasa todas las encuestas electorales siguiendo el promedio de todas ellas. Aquí puedes ver el nuestro actualizado cada día.

elpais.com

Saludos

 

[Mokordo]

Thanks for editing the post @Bombardier . How can I do the same?

 

[Bombardier]

Take a look at post number 11 here, I will create a help post to sort this out properly but hope that helps

Photos - The Luftfaust , Fliegerfaust and Fliegerschreck

The Luftfaust , Fliegerfaust and Fliegerschreck The Luftfaust Man Portable anti aircraft missile systems In 1945 the Luftfaust was designed by ‘Hugo Schneider’ of Leipzig and by the end of that year the German army were ready to field test the weapon system. The early version 'Luftfaus A'...

www.militaryimages.net

 

[Mokordo]

Interactive map where you can see the vote of every village/city in the 2016 General Elections .

How did your neighbor vote in the 2016 Spanish election?
This map provides a detailed look at which political parties won in each census section in Spain

How did your neighbor vote in the 2016 Spanish election?

This map provides a detailed look at which political parties won in each census section in Spain

elpais.com

 

[Mokordo]

Spanish far-right Vox party banned from TV debate

Spanish far-right Vox party banned from TV debate

The country's electoral commission ruled that Vox's involvement would violate electoral law.

www.bbc.com

 

[Junglejim]

Socialists in seville... interesting

 

[bfc1001]

Spanish far-right Vox party banned from TV debate

The country's electoral commission ruled that Vox's involvement would violate electoral law.

www.bbc.com

Politics aside , if vox gets banned and then millions then proceed to then vote for them does that mean the opinions of vox voters will be subsequently banned ? I'm sure many don't agree with their views but this will merely further vox's cause and create a rod for any future governments back .

 

[Stormovik]

Politics aside , if vox gets banned and then millions then proceed to then vote for them does that mean the opinions of vox voters will be subsequently banned ? I'm sure many don't agree with their views but this will merely further vox's cause and create a rod for any future governments back .

It´s only that the Central Electoral Board has stated that VOX can´t be allowed to take part in the debate as long as they don´t have any seat in the Congreso de los Diputados nor the Senado, is not related to its ideology. If they get any seat, and all the polls are saying that they are going to get a relevant number, they will be able to take part in debates that take place in future elections. Just a questionable understanding of electoral law, moreover if you take account of debates that took part in precedent elections.

 

[Mokordo]

Politics aside , if vox gets banned and then millions then proceed to then vote for them does that mean the opinions of vox voters will be subsequently banned ? I'm sure many don't agree with their views but this will merely further vox's cause and create a rod for any future governments back .

The argument to exclude VOX in the tv debate, is that once started the electoral campaign, only those parties that have obtained at least the 5% in a similar election (in that case General Elections) can participate. VOX obtained more than 10% in a regional election, in Andalucía, so they cannot take part in this debate.

In private disclosed conversations between VOX members in Whatsapp, they told that being banned from this debate, will benefit them. Even they acknowledged that they thought their leader was not prepared for it.

Surveys in this election are less accurate than ever, because is accepted that there are about a 42% of people undecided, so the result its quite impredictable.

 

[Mokordo]

It´s only that the Central Electoral Board has stated that VOX can´t be allowed to take part in the debate as long as they don´t have any seat in the Congreso de los Diputados nor the Senado, is not related to its ideology. If they get any seat, and all the polls are saying that they are going to get a relevant number, they will be able to take part in debates that take place in future elections. Just a questionable understanding of electoral law, moreover if you take account of debates that took part in precedent elections.

I didn´t see your answer @Stormovik , I was writing, sorry.

 

[Stormovik]

Socialists in seville... interesting

Interesting why? Seville has been a long time socialist redoubt, to the point of being known in the past as "Sevilla la roja" (the Red Seville)

 

[Mokordo]

Actually in that map, Sevilla has more districts in which PP gains than Psoe.

 

[Stormovik]

Actually in that map, Sevilla has more districts in which PP gains than Psoe.

I don´t have a big faith about my neighbours being too sincere about their voting intentions But historically here socialists have dominated the results in elections

 

[Mokordo]

I don´t have a big faith about my neighbours being too sincere about their voting intentions But historically here socialists have dominated the results in elections

In this case, is not a map based in a survey of voting intention, it´s a map with the final results of 2016 general Elections. But yes, usually Andalucía was a socialist fief.

 

[Junglejim]

Interesting why? Seville has been a long time socialist redoubt, to the point of being known in the past as "Sevilla la roja" (the Red Seville)

Interesting cause my family comes from Seville and if you’ve met the “old guards” here they you wouldnt expect them to be coming from that region.

 

[Mokordo]

Interesting cause my family comes from Seville and if you’ve met the “old guards” here they you wouldnt expect them to be coming from that region.

The most voted party in the last Municipal Elections in Seville was the Pp (33,05%) and the second the Psoe (32,16%), but Psoe candidate was elected Mayor because the support of other parties.

2015 Seville City Council election - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

When did your ancestors/family leave Spain @Junglejim ? Do you still have any connection with them?

 

[Junglejim]

The two who started it all left around lat 1800's as soldiers to subjugate the muslim population in the southern Philippines. The two stayed and build up landholding, as their wives all died they brought in more of their nephews to run the place. The last direct contact on my immediate family side would be with my grandmother until she died in 70's as she seemed to vacation in Spain.

Some of my cousins and aunts do visit the place and remains in contact with family members there. I am planning to visit Seville this July just to see the place and iffy if I should meet some of the family relatives.

Old website created by my relatives don south, its hard to read but basically its these two

Spanish Caballeros in Cotabato

Spanish roots in Cotabato City

spanishcaballerosincotabato.weebly.com

 

[Mokordo]

Thanks @Junglejim , very interesting read,

I hope you enjoy Sevilla, if you finally visit the place. It´s a beautiful city, but in summer is specially hot.

 

[Junglejim]

Thanks @Junglejim , very interesting read,

I hope you enjoy Sevilla, if you finally visit the place. It´s a beautiful city, but in summer is specially hot.

As long as its a dry heat... humidity over here means you have to take shower for taking a shower.

 

[Mokordo]

Tomorrow saturday, will be as here we know as "jornada de reflexión" (day of reflection) during which is forbidden to post/publish any electoral survey and any electoral advertissement.

So , to summarize the situation, before the Sunday voting:

Current polls suggest the PSOE will finish first and increase its seat count – but will fall well short of a majority. It is expected to win about 29% of the vote, with the PP finishing second with about 20%. The Citizens party is on course to win 15% and Unidas-Podemos 13%. Snapping at the heels of the anti-austerity, leftwing coalition is Vox. Having never won a seat in congress, the party is on course to take about 10% of the vote.
However, some 40% of voters are still undecided, making all predictions a lot less certain. A fundamental trend will be the continuing fragmentation of the rightwing vote.

Spain's general election 2019: all you need to know

Spain will hold its third general election in four years on Sunday 28 April

www.theguardian.com

Saludos