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WOW Ivan, once again that is great stuff you've posted.....thank goodness these never got used!! Thanks for sharing![]()
Thanks!
WOW Ivan, once again that is great stuff you've posted.....thank goodness these never got used!! Thanks for sharing![]()
Imagine what China has build for their Party.
| Total SLBMs | Northern Fleet | Pacific Fleet | |
| 2013 | 16 (96 BB max.) | 16 (1 SSBN) | - |
| 2014 | 32 (192 BB max) | 32 (2 SSBNs) | - |
| 2015 | 48 (288 BB max) | 32 (2 SSBNs) | 16 (1 SSBN) |
| 2020 | 64 (384 BB max) | 32 (2 SSBNs) | 32 (2 SSBNs) |
| 2021 | 64 (384 BB max) | 32 (2 SSBNs) | 32 (2 SSBNs) |
| 2022 | 80 (480 BB max) | 32 (2 SSBNs) | 48 (3 SSBNs) |
| 2023 | 96 (576 BB max) | 32 (2 SSBNs) | 64 (4 SSBNs) |
Oreshnik (Hazel).
SS-X-31B / SS-X-34
Medium-range ballistic missile developed by the MITT.
So far, very little is known about the system, the little information we have access to are a mixed bag of contradictory statements and speculations.
However, a number of verifiable, factual elements, such as nature, range and capabilities are, though also based on a modicum amount of speculation, relatively established.
Hence, expect a reasonable amount of "it is believed".
It is believed that the theoretical development of the system, codenamed "Kedr", likely began in 2022 or earlier. The missile is being developed using developments from other MITT-developed missile systems, such as the Yars and Bulava.
In July 2023, it is believed Russia's leadership decided to develop a non-nuclear version of the missile based on the RS-26 (SS-X-31) Rubezh ICBM.
According to Western data and based on experience with previous mobile ground-based missile systems, cooperation on the development of this missile system includes:
- Moscow Institute of Thermal Technology - lead developer for the complex and the rocket;
- Federal Scientific and Production Center "Titan-Barricades" (Volgograd) - autonomous launcher and auxiliary vehicles;
- TsNIIAG (Moscow) - development of rocket control system devices;
- FTsDT "Soyuz" - development of the propulsion system;
- OKB "Prozhektor" (Moscow);
- Concern "Sozvezdie" (Voronezh);
- Scientific and Production Enterprise “Spetsenergomekhanika” (Moscow);
- Research Center of Special Equipment and Conversion “Continent” (Moscow).
Missile testing reportedly began with a first launch from the Kapustin Yar test site in October 2023, followed with another one in June 2024.
The third test launch was a combat test: on November 21, 2024, the missile (or missiles) were used against a practical target, namely the Yuzhmash Production Association in Dnepropetrovsk.
Notably it also was the first use of MIRVs in combat.
The payload used is reportedly a new type of MIRV, with a cluster filling (6 x 6 warheads for a total of 36). Though it could also be a set of actual warheads and missile defense system decoys.
Following the November 21's launch, the Commander-in-Chief of the Strategic Missile Forces S. Karakayev proposed accepting The Oreshnik PGRK into service. And on December 18, 2025, Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces Gerasimov announced that the first brigade equipped with the Oreshnik missile system would be formed in 2025.
A second combat launch got carried out on January 8, 2026. The targets were, reportedly, "critical infrastructures" in or near Lviv.
Though no BDA were made available at this time, the only element available is the range got increased from 800km (first combat launch from Kapustin Yar) to 1500km (from Kapustin Yar).
On December 17, 2025, according to a statement by Belarusian President Lukashenko, the first Oreshnik systems entered combat duty in Belarus.
Satellite image from November 16, 2025, and published on December 27, 2025, reportedly shows the proposed deployment location at the site of the abandoned Krichev-6 airbase.
View attachment 550615
View attachment 550900Layout of facilities on the Krichev-Shesterovka railway line and the territory of the disbanded Krichev airbase.
View attachment 550901
Changes made to the infrastructure of the Krichev airbase as of November 20, 2025.
Based on the experience with similar missile systems entering service with the Russian Armed Forces, it can be assumed with a relative level of certainty that the first division of the Oreshnik system is based at Kapustin Yar.
The Krichev-6 base likely currently houses only one division of the Oreshnik, with 3 to 4 automatic launchers. This could potentially be expanded to a regiment (9 automatic launchers) or a brigade (12 automatic launchers).
Launch and ground equipment : assuming the Oreshnik is based on the Rubezh PGRK, the launcher is probably either made and/or based on the MZKT-79291 chassis, or on one of its modification.
View attachment 550617
The Oreshnik missile.
Missile design : presumably a two-stage solid-fuel missile with a MIRV and a warhead dispersal stage.
View attachment 550618
Oreshnik SS-X-31-B / SS-X-34, based on the RS26 Rubezh.
View attachment 550619
RS-26 Rubezh.
Based on the two videos documenting the operational use of the system, it is believed the missile utilizes a new MIRV design, with each reentry vehicle being equipped with its own control system and engine.
The recovered wreckage of a gas generator system, after the first operational use on November 21, 2024, could therefore either be part of the flight correction system of an individual MIRV.
View attachment 550620
However, it can also refute this assumption and be nothing more than a traditional bus design.
Propulsion systems : cruise engines for all stages of the rocket - solid propellant rocket motors.
Based on pieces of the wreckage recovered, the warhead launch stage is presumably controlled by a multi-nozzle solid propellant engine-gas generator.
View attachment 550621
Initial speculations were the Oreshnik was either a revival of the RS-26, a modification of the RS-26 or an entirely new system based on the RS-26.
However, some of the parts collected on sites, further muddy the water when it comes to what the missile either is or is based on, and tend to open new perspectives.
View attachment 550622
It turns out that part of the engine-gas generator is found in procurement documents for the 3K-30 Bulava complex from 2013. (https://www.tenderguru.ru/tender/10388996)
If accurate, it could imply the Oreshnik shares, hypothetically, commonalities with the submarine launched ballistic missile 3K-30 Bulava. Or, to a broader extent, being a land based version of the Bulava.
Performance :
Weight at launch - less than or about 40 tons (estimate)
Payload weight- at least 1200 kg (estimate)
Range: 800km - 1500km - with a maximum claimed at 5000 km (as per Ukrainian sources: https://t.me/stranaua/177460)
Maximum speed: 10M (as per Russian claims: http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/75614) to 11 M (as per Ukrainian claims: https://t.me/DIUkraine/4878)
Warhead :
Based on the two operational uses of the missile, it can be established it carries, or can carry, non-nuclear warheads. However, a nuclear version of the missile's warhead cannot be ruled out in the future.
Based on the launch from November 21, 2024, it is hypothesized the Oreshnik could be fitted with a cluster warhead with 6 groups of 6 warheads each.
View attachment 550625
View attachment 550626
However it could also be theorized the Oreshnik could be fitted with a set of heavy decoys, either based on, or similar to, the 9B899 used on the Iskander-M.
Potentially, the warheads could be equipped with solid propellant rocket motors.
The coating material of the surface of the warheads is believed to allow it to sustain heating temperature up to at least 4000° C.
View attachment 550630
Operational organization of the system:
It is to be believed the Oreshnik missile system division likely operates like any of the already existing mobile IRBM/ICBM structures and therefore presumably includes:
- 3 APU RK "Oreshnik" possibly on the MZKT-79291 chassis.
- Combat duty support vehicle type 15V240M.
View attachment 550627
- Combat control vehicle (command post) type 15V180.
View attachment 550628
View attachment 550629
- Communication vehicle type 15V190.
- Engineering support and camouflage vehicle 15M69M (probably).
- UTM-80M (probably).
Post January 8 observation.
Footage from debris appear to suggest the Oreshnik lacks, or at least he one used on January 8 lacked, individual disengagement pods.
The warhead (cone) likely utilizes the same kind of typical sealed compartment layout and a gas-reactive system for disengaging the warheads.
In such case, each warheads would likely be unguided and carry six "sub"-warheads.
When it comes to the mass of the payload, it could be estimated to be ranging somewhere between 1.250 kg (typical payload for the Topol-M/MR) up to 3.000 kg. With each warhead and cassette being up to about 400 kg.
In that configuration, a range of 4.100km could be achieved.

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