Probably due to the lack of military trainers, the Russian Armed Forces train volunteer battalions from different regions in selected training camps. Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov has reported that recruits from various Russian regions are undergoing accelerated training at the Chechen university SZPECNAZ in Chechnya, and on 25 July published footage of unnamed Chechen fighters being deployed from Grozny airport to Donbass. Kadyrov has previously reported the deployment of unnamed volunteer elements during July, and Chechen units are likely to deploy to Ukraine in small groups rather than in fully formed battalions due to the limited training capacity of the SPECNAZ University.
Ukrainian intelligence leaks continue to detail the Kremlin's plans to annex the occupied Ukrainian territories to Russia through rigged referendums. On 26 July, the Ukrainian Security Service (SBU) reported that Russian officials plan to rely on activists from the "Donetsk Republic" organisation to advocate for an accession referendum and mobilise voters throughout the occupied Ukrainian territories of Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhya and Kherson. The Donetsk Republic Organisation is the Russian proxy predecessor of the Donetsk People's Republic government structures, which has supported the Russian annexation of Donbass since 2005. The SBU reports that the organisation is likely to rename itself "Greater Russia" and will push for Russian annexation not only of Donbass but of the whole of occupied Ukraine, demonstrating the Kremlin's ever-expanding territorial ambitions. Ukrainian intelligence has leaked T-shirt designs showing a unified outline of Russia and Ukraine, including the US state of Alaska as part of 'Greater Russia'. Ukrainian intelligence has also leaked pre-written letters, allegedly from members of the organisation, appealing to DNK leader Denis Pusilin to hold a referendum, hand-signed and dated 1 and 9 August 2022.
These documents, dated next year, prove that the Kremlin planned a scheduled communication operation in support of the annexation and integration of the occupied Ukrainian territories into the Russian Federation. This operation has already begun. During the first phases, Russian proxies called for Russian intervention, Russian forces occupied and occupied territories in southern and eastern Ukraine, and Russian occupation officials replaced Ukrainian identification documents, telecommunications, currency and local governance with Russian alternatives. Proxy officials will now again call for annexation, claiming they are conducting a popular, grassroots campaign calling for an accession referendum.
In the next phase, civilians in the occupied territories are likely to be recruited or intimidated by supposedly grassroots groups, with occupation officials increasingly linking humanitarian aid to 'correct' electoral participation in annexation referendums. The SBU reported that members of the Donetsk Republic have already contacted 200,000 citizens in the occupied territories, encouraging them to join the organisation and support the occupation and annexation. Having published their 'grassroots appeals' in early August and stepped up their propaganda output throughout the month, Kremlin envoys are likely to claim that the will of the people is to schedule the referendums for 11 September, the same day as local and gubernatorial elections are held across Russia.
The stated objectives of the 'Greater Russia' organisation show that the Kremlin has already drawn up plans for population control after accession. Among the objectives listed by the group are territorial integration, humanitarian aid, "support for civil initiatives on the ground", "the elimination of social tensions" and "the development of the economic potential of the territories".
Repeated Russian and proxy leaks of Ukrainian intelligence may force the Kremlin to change or abandon elements of the planned annexation campaign, just as the "preliminary debunking" of Russian false flag attempts by US and allies forced the Kremlin to abandon many of the planned justifications for the February 2022 invasion of Ukraine. Ukrainian counter-attacks may also force a change in the Kremlin's annexation agenda.
I'd say that's all we know about the battlefield news, but I wouldn't be telling the truth: I promised to report on the status of the Antonov bridge near Herszon. To paraphrase Gárdonyi a little, I must say: "that bridge is as good as a grate". It's no accident that it is. It is, as Meduza writes:
"The Antonovsky bridge over the Dnieper River near Herszon has been completely closed to traffic after shelling by Ukrainian troops. The announcement was made on the morning of 27 July by the deputy head of the pro-Russian Provisional Administration of the Herszon region, Kiril Stremousov.
According to Stremousov, more than 10 rockets were fired at the bridge in a few hours - some of them intercepted by air defences, but some hit the bridge. However, the activist claims that the structure was not completely destroyed. As Stremousov noted, the strikes were carried out from HIMARS missile launchers.
On the evening of 26 July, Ukrainian TV channels published videos of missiles allegedly hitting the bridge. They also claimed that the bridge had been destroyed. Stremousov then claimed that the bridge had not been damaged at all.
The Antonov Bridge is one of three bridges across the Dnieper River controlled by the Russian army. It serves to supply the Russian grouping on the right bank of the river.
The bridge was damaged by shelling a few days ago. At that time, traffic was partially restricted."
So now they are shelling that bridge to prevent it from collapsing? Yes, that's why. As Natalia Humeniuk, a spokeswoman for the "Pivden" operational command, explained, the intention of the Ukrainian forces is to damage the structure so much that heavy weapons, tanks, assault guns or even ammunition trucks cannot drive on it, but not so badly that the city's supply is cut off. So, now, somewhere around a HIMARS battery, a bunch of structural engineers and architects are sitting around with the plans for the bridge, scratching their heads hard because they have a tough job. Anyway, just this minute the news came in that the railway bridge parallel to the Antonov bridge has been destroyed, so that's the only road across the Dnieper left.
I don't know why I have the feeling that someone must have spent a lot of time watching Kelly's heroes at one command or another...
"Oh, dear. Stop bombarding me with negative waves early in the morning. Think hard, the bridge will be there, and it will definitely be there. It's a dreamy railway bridge that will surely be there (...) See what you've done with your negative waves Moriarty?"
Well, the railway bridge is no longer there and it's the negative waves that are to blame. Oh, no, the HIMARS. Anyway, those who put aside their negative thinking and dare to dream big can say some very interesting things on hyperlous Carpathian television, as Konstantin Strelbitsky, chairman of the board of the Moscow Fleet History Club, a military historian, did. He talked about the idea that Russia should regulate the Northern Sea Route. Of course, it would do so to its own taste, or in the words of the programme, 'as befits an empire'.
The Arctic has been under international supervision for quite some time, exercised by the Arctic Council. Its member states are Canada, Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, Sweden, Finland, Sweden and the United States. Russia was also a member, but was suspended in March over aggression. In response, the Kremlin has indicated that it considers the entire Arctic - if not so openly stated, then de facto - as its own, on the basis that more than fifty percent of the coastline is Russian territory. However, if we consider that global warming is making much of the previously icy ocean navigable, we can see that it makes a difference who owns it. According to the current hypothesis:
"The Russian Ministry of Defense has proposed tightening federal law on the entry of foreign military and civilian vessels into the waters of the Northern Sea Route (NSR). According to the ministry's proposal, a provision could be added to the federal law on 'territorial waters', which requires foreign vessels to notify Russian authorities through diplomatic channels 90 days before entry.
On the ministry's initiative, the authorities may suspend the entry of foreign vessels into the waters in the interests of safety. These requirements are explained by the increase in maritime traffic and the activation of naval activities by various states.
According to various sources, the amendments to the federal law on territorial waters have been approved by the Government Commission on Legislative Activities, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the Federal Security Service and the Ministry of Transport."
This is otherwise known as piracy on the high seas, since it is supposed to take place in international waters, but when we think of the pro-Russian propaganda T-shirt of Ukraine, mentioned in the ISW report, which already includes Alaska as part of Greater Russia, it becomes clear why Moscow needs the Arctic so much.
And Russian imperialism continues to bang its barrel chest with half a brick, banging like a brick, perhaps even heard in Beijing - the Kremlin's Defence Ministry announced yesterday that the Vostok-2022 strategic command exercise will be held in the Eastern Military District from 30 August to 5 September. The exercise will be led by the Chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and will also involve 'military contingents from other states' (probably referring to the member states of the Collective Security Treaty Organisation). The exercise will focus on the use of troop (force) grouping to ensure military security in the Eastern region. In addition to the troops (forces) of the Eastern Military District, the Airborne Forces, Long Range Aviation and some military transport aviation forces are also involved in these manoeuvres. The exercises will be held at 13 training ranges in the Eastern Military District, the Defense Ministry said, without specifying how many troops will take part in the exercise.
As I read the full news, the exercise has several objectives. The first is to indicate that 'we still have soldiers outside Ukraine', as it contains an interesting phrase:
"Only a part of the Russian armed forces is taking part in the special military operation, the number of which is fully sufficient to carry out all the tasks set by the Supreme Commander-in-Chief."
Either there is or there isn't: since the details of the exercise are secret, the world at large will never know in real life how many people took part in it. The other purpose may be military-political-diplomatic. Let's not forget that this war or speculation was originally a military exercise. One can imagine how comfortable Kazakhstan, which sometimes even openly rebels against Russian dominance, or China, Russia's 'reluctant bride', which has not given Moscow the help it expected or even demanded, is feeling at the news that a major Russian military exercise is being prepared near their borders. This is also a form of blackmail, but I am sure that this exercise will not lead to a conflict with China, but I would not bet on Kazakhstan... President Tokayev cannot be having a peaceful dream these days.
Most valahol egy HIMARS-üteg körül ül egy csomó statikus és építész, a híd tervrajzaival és erősen vakarják a fejüket.
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