Warfare Northwestern Aleppo offensive (2024)

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Footage of abandoned MiG-23 fighters of the Syrian Air Force has been published. After the change of power in Syria, Syrian MiG-23 fighters and Soviet-made Su-24 bombers were abandoned. Judging by the video, there is no security at the airbase, and bombs and other aircraft weapons were also abandoned. MiG-23 fighters were produced in the USSR from 1969 to 1985, Su-24 bombers from 1967 to 1993. The Russian Air Force currently uses modifications of the Su-24M2 and Su-24MR bombers.

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@Ivan le Fou
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This sexy voice says:
"This special footage obtained by Al Arabiya shows the moment Russian forces returned to Hmeimim military airport after 10 hours of waiting in front of the Russian base."
 
Footage of abandoned MiG-23 fighters of the Syrian Air Force has been published. After the change of power in Syria, Syrian MiG-23 fighters and Soviet-made Su-24 bombers were abandoned. Judging by the video, there is no security at the airbase, and bombs and other aircraft weapons were also abandoned. MiG-23 fighters were produced in the USSR from 1969 to 1985, Su-24 bombers from 1967 to 1993. The Russian Air Force currently uses modifications of the Su-24M2 and Su-24MR bombers.

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I suppose the rare few still around, and the more rarest ones still able to fly, could be reconverted as recon planes, if they are looking at meaningful upgrades.

Though keeping them as good old CAS assets is also better than nothing.
 
Video of another abandoned military base in Syria. The video shows Syrian military equipment, Soviet and Russian production. Abandoned tanks T-90A, T-72, T-55. Also visible in the frame is the ZSU-23-4 Shilka air defense system, infantry fighting vehicles and other military equipment of the Syrian army.

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I wouldn't worry too much about old fighter jets falling into the hands of Al-Qaeda. The IDF didn't feel it was worth blowing up and then the clean-up crew arrives.

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Things are heating up again. Alawites have seemingly launched an attack against regime forces in the coastal regions. Al-Qaeda is scrambling reinforcements.

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Alawite militias attack in the outskirts of Jableh and Latakia, tearing down flags and setting up ambushes.

Mass protests erupt in major cities – police stations and checkpoints seized, security forces flee.

Up to 30 security personnel killed, patrols gunned down in ambushes, attacks target former militants.

New authorities mobilizing forces, preparing for a region-wide crackdown amid Russian negotiations to maintain military bases.
 
Alawite militias attack in the outskirts of Jableh and Latakia, tearing down flags and setting up ambushes.

Mass protests erupt in major cities – police stations and checkpoints seized, security forces flee.

Up to 30 security personnel killed, patrols gunned down in ambushes, attacks target former militants.

New authorities mobilizing forces, preparing for a region-wide crackdown amid Russian negotiations to maintain military bases.
An easier way is to figure out who Russia supports and who Turkey supports.
 
An easier way is to figure out who Russia supports and who Turkey supports.

I suppose that could work.

However Russia's support will be very limited due to the massive post-Assad-era draw back. They still have assets in the country, but very much less than before.

So... first, who will they give their support to.
But also, is the support they are giving an actual indication of who they really support.

For all we know these could simply be shows of force meant to dissuade/intimidate "whoever", as in "look, we are here, we aren't doing anything, but that can change if you do something we don't like". That happened a lot in Iraq and Afghanistan.

The pro-Assad forces are technically on life support at that point, and the new authorities made it clear they didn't mean any hostility towards Russia. So, logically, Russia has more to gain to buddy up with the new masters of Syria.


Turkey on the other hand is far less limited in its options, and far less shy about showing its intentions. Especially since literally nobody is doing anything about it, Erdogan can legitimately feel he can do whatever he wants.
 
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