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Iran asking 364bil dollar from the US is one hell of an acid trip.
Anybody believing this will happen need to have their cranial cavity checked.
Anyway; critical infrastructures have been crippled, the regime has been crippled, the army has been crippled, regional proxies have been crippled.
This is neither a peace treaty, a ceasefire nor something that will last no time at all before Lebanon gets bombed again.
It is a memorandum of understanding, a sort of ceasefire but a bit stronger which is not stopping, and won't stop, Israel from bombing Lebanon if its wants to and/or deem it necessary.
So, what have we got...
We have a Memorandum of Understanding to be signed in Switzerland on June 19th between the US and Iran.
Initially Iran had proposed the following 14 point draft:
-Permanent Ceasefire: An immediate halt to fighting on all regional fronts, including Lebanon.
-Naval Blockade: Lifting of the U.S. naval blockade within 30 days.
-Strait of Hormuz: Reopening the Strait of Hormuz under Iranian arrangements.
-Troop Withdrawal: A U.S. commitment to withdraw its military forces from areas surrounding Iran.
-Sanctions Relief: Suspending energy and oil sanctions, and lifting broad U.S. sanctions on Iran.
-Financial Release: Releasing $24 billion in frozen Iranian assets during a 60-day negotiation period.
-Nuclear Commitments: A reiteration of Iran's commitment not to produce nuclear weapons and establishing a 60-day window to finalize nuclear negotiations.
-Sovereignty & Non-Interference: A U.S. commitment to respect Iranian sovereignty and not interfere in its internal affairs.
-Prerequisites for Talks: Final negotiations cannot officially begin until at least half of Iran's frozen assets are released, oil sanctions are suspended, and the U.S. naval blockade is completely lifted.
-Missile Program Exclusion: Discussions regarding Iran's ballistic missile program are completely removed from the negotiating agenda.
-Proxy and Regional Group Exclusion: Discussions concerning Iran's financial and military support for "resistance groups" (regional proxies) are entirely excluded from the scope of the final deal.
-Scope of the Final Agreement: The eventual permanent deal will strictly be limited to the fate of uranium enrichment activities, economic sanctions relief, and war reconstruction.
-No New Sanctions: The United States commits to a complete freeze on imposing any new economic sanctions against Iran during the interim period.
-UN Security Council Endorsement: The final, completed agreement must be formally approved and codified through a United Nations Security Council resolution.
The US has reportedly agreed to:
-The Cessation of Hostilities: A mutual agreement to permanently end military operations on all fronts, including Lebanon.
-Lifting the Naval Blockade: The U.S. will remove its maritime blockade to allow the Strait of Hormuz to fully reopen. President Trump noted the vital shipping lane will be "permanently toll-free.".
-A 60-Day Negotiation Framework: Entering a 60-day window to hammer out the complex, final terms regarding long-term nuclear commitments and broader sanctions relief.
The U.S. disagrees on:
-Flatly rejected Iran's claims regarding the sequencing of funds and exclusions.
Good job lying.
-While Iranian media stated that $12 billion of the $24 billion in frozen assets must be released before talks begin, a senior U.S. official told Axios that this is strictly a "pay-for-performance deal" and no funds will be released until Iran implements specific verification commitments.
Again, good job lying.
-Israel was entirely excluded from the secret, Pakistani-mediated negotiations and is not a party to the agreement. Israeli leaders have notably remained silent following the announcement.
-The framework fails to meet Israel's core war objectives: it does not eliminate Iran's nuclear program, deplete its ballistic missile stockpiles, or force regime change.
-The inclusion of Lebanon in the permanent ceasefire directly impacts Israel's ongoing conflict with Hezbollah.
But since Israel has been both excluded from the negotiations and is not a party to the agreement, any of the conditions are not binding to Israel. Israel is at liberty to hit whatever it wants and/or deem necessary. If it draws the ire of the US, who cares? Israel is a sovereign country with nuclear weapons.
Because Israel has not agreed to the terms, any further preemptive military action by the IDF against Iranian targets or Hezbollah could easily collapse the 60-day negotiation period before a final treaty is signed.
Furthermore, it is important to note and keep in mind that a Memorandum of Understanding is non-binding and is not a Treaty either, nor an agreement, an accord, nor an armistice. It is simply an understanding of how to proceed forward.
But our honorary IRGC mouthpieces and "foreign policies experts" have got to earn their living, I suppose.
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